mercredi 13 novembre 2024

Deflation in China: Impossible to Ignore

 


 

Deflation’s grip on the world’s second largest economy is getting tighter.

 

As Bloomberg noted on Sept. 9:

 

China’s Deflationary Spiral Is Now Entering Dangerous New Stage

 

The demand for goods has been weakening. Wages are stagnant. And, in addition to declining property prices, corporate profits are down. Inventories at Chinese manufacturers swell.

 

China’s central bank has unveiled a host of stimulus measures, but Chinese consumers have failed to respond.

 

As Elliott Wave International’s October Global Market Perspective says:

 

No matter how low rates go, consumers refuse to buy “stuff” that is losing value.

 

China’s Producer Price Index just registered it’s 22nd straight month of decline.

 

This chart from EWI’s October Global Market Perspective shows another broad measure of price change:

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